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 Calculating odds

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Pat Riot
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MessageSujet: Calculating odds   Calculating odds I_icon_minitimeMer 29 Avr - 19:02

In poker your outs are the unseen cards that will complete or improve your hand to make it the winning hand. Each additional card or "Out" will improve your percentage of surviving the hand and coming out a winner.
If the flop is QJ2 and you have 10 9, you want a king or an eight to complete your straight. There are 4 kings and 4 eights in the deck, so you have 8 total outs.
So you have to count the cards that you can catch to give you the best hand and then refer to the chart below to calculate your odds on catching it.
The Odds chart below shows the percentage and odds of making your hand based on your number of outs.
You will be able to tell if the pot is laying you correct odds by using the number of chips in the pot divided by how many you have to call. If you have 10.9 to 1 odds against catching your hand and the pot is only laying you 3 to 1 odds then you should definitely fold. Try to make sure that the pot is giving you the odds it should for you to try to catch the card(s) you need.

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Number of outs .......................After Flop................................................After Turn
.........................................Two cards to come..................................One card to come
................................ Percentage........Odds against.................... Percentage........Odds against

1 ..................................4.3....................22.4 .........................................2.2 .................44.5
2 ..................................8.4....................10.9 .........................................4.3 .................22.3
3 ................................12.5 .....................7.. ..........................................6.5 .................14.4
4 ................................16.5 .....................5.1 .........................................8.7 ................10.5
5 ................................20.3 .....................3.9 .......................................10.9 ..................8.2
6 ................................24.1 .....................3.1 .......................................13..................... 6.7
7 ................................27.8 .....................2.6 .......................................15.2 ..................5.6
8 ................................31.5 .....................2.2 .......................................17.4 ..................4.7
9 ................................35 ........................1.9 .......................................19.6 ..................4.1
10 ..............................38.4 .....................1.6 ........................................21.7 .................3.6
11 ..............................41.7 .....................1.4 ........................................24 ....................3.2
12 ..............................45 ........................1.2 ........................................26.1 .................2.8
13 ..............................48.1 .....................1.1 ........................................28.3 .................2.5
14 ...............................51.2 ....................0.95 ......................................30.4 .................2.3
15 ...............................54.1 ....................0.85 ......................................32.6 .................2.1
16 ...............................57 .......................0.75 ......................................34.3 .................1.9
17 ...............................59.8 ....................0.67 ......................................37 ....................1.7
18 ...............................62.4 ....................0.6 ........................................39.1 .................1.6
19 ...............................65 .......................0.54 ......................................41.3 .................1.4
20 ...............................67.5 ....................0.48 ......................................43.5 .................1.3


Dernière édition par Pat Riot le Mer 29 Avr - 19:20, édité 4 fois
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MessageSujet: Re: Calculating odds   Calculating odds I_icon_minitimeMer 29 Avr - 19:03

If you have two high cards and you believe your opponent has a low pocket pair. What are the chances you will make a pair on the turn or river?
Your answer: 24.1%

Correct!

If you have a flush draw and you believe your opponent is not holding one of your outs, what are the chances you will make your flush on the river?
Your answer: 17.4%

Incorrect!

On the turn you're holding a set and you believe your opponent holds a flush (the board is unpaired and your opponent holds no pair). What are the chances you will win the hand on the river?
Your answer: 22.7%

Correct!

Calculate the number of 'outs' opponent 2 has to outright win or tie the hand given both players have moved all in:
Opponent 1: AJ Opponent 2: Ah5h
Flop: A2h3h
Your answer: 22

Incorrect!

Why is it most important to understand pot odds?
Your answer: So you can determine if you're getting the right price to play in a hand
Correct!
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